Argentina's markets give Milei a reality check as early romance fades

Maybe not…
So, some Argentine government bonds, due for a 1-dollar payment by the government in 2030, increased in value from 0.38 to 0.40 in a week. OMG, this is a game changer! They need to write 10 articles about it.
 
The reality check is here already:
  • Inflation closed out 2023 @ 211.40%
  • Inflation for January is expected to be 25% again
  • Poverty is now 46%
  • The brecha between the CCL and the BCRA dollar is around 40%
  • BOPREAL remains a dead cat for now, it has an issuance capacity of 5 Billion, yet after 3 tenders it remains at just barely 1/5th of bonds sold
  • Dollar future contracts expect the 2% crawling peg to be abandoned, likely after February
  • Commodity prices have decreased in Chicago, while export duties have increased domestically
I'm not suggesting his presidency is a failure, I'm just getting major Macri deja vu. But surely the lluvia de inversiones will come this time, right? That's why Marcos Galperin, a Milei sycophant is going to stop posting shitty Bing AI memes on Twitter about how great he and things are and is going to move back home, right???
 
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