El Pico - how is it determined

on the brink

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gracielle

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13 June 2020
Tomás Pueyo, the most influential voice against the coronavirus: "It does not make sense to apply a quarantine for months because it costs too much"
He is not an epidemiologist or a virologist. He is an engineer and works in Silicon Valley, but he became a global reference on the Covid-19 after the publication of his article "The hammer and the dance" that in a few days was read by millions of people and was decisive in the decisions of many governments. Do you think that Argentina is not doing enough tests....


A technical paper published by Tomas Pueyo on 19 March 2020.
Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance
What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time
 

gracielle

Registered
27 June 2020
Coronavirus: only 5 neighborhoods concentrate half of the City's cases
The city of Buenos Aires is one of the centers of greatest concern for the growth of coronavirus infections, which has already surpassed the 20,000 barrier and represents 43% of cases in Argentina . However, the outbreak manifests itself unevenly within the City: only five of the 48 Buenos Aires neighborhoods centralize 50% of the total infected in the district.

These are the neighborhoods of Flores (3675), Retiro (2927), Barracas (1833), Villa Lugano (1627) and Balvanera (1323). The data arises from an analysis of LA NACION Data on the information published in the Weekly Epidemiological Bulletin (BES) of the Buenos Aires Ministry of Health and takes into account the cases since March 3, when the first positive was confirmed in CABA, until on June 25, when the total number of infected totaled 22,932.

On the other hand, there are still some neighborhoods that do not exceed 40 cases, such as Agronomy (31), Villa Ortúzar (33), Villa Real (34) and Versailles (36). The latter even remained free of positive cases for almost two months and reported their first case only during the last week of May....
If the rate is analyzed for every 100,000 inhabitants , the most compromised are Retiro , Flores and Villa Soldati. In recent weeks, the Buenos Aires government intensified door-to-door case tracking and follow-up of close contacts through the Detect plan in these three neighborhoods....


See chart showing number of positive cases in each of the 48 neighborhoods.....
 
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antipodean

Registered
27 June 2020
Coronavirus: only 5 neighborhoods concentrate half of the City's cases
The city of Buenos Aires is one of the centers of greatest concern for the growth of coronavirus infections, which has already surpassed the 20,000 barrier and represents 43% of cases in Argentina . However, the outbreak manifests itself unevenly within the City: only five of the 48 Buenos Aires neighborhoods centralize 50% of the total infected in the district.

These are the neighborhoods of Flores (3675), Retiro (2927), Barracas (1833), Villa Lugano (1627) and Balvanera (1323). The data arises from an analysis of LA NACION Data on the information published in the Weekly Epidemiological Bulletin (BES) of the Buenos Aires Ministry of Health and takes into account the cases since March 3, when the first positive was confirmed in CABA, until on June 25, when the total number of infected totaled 22,932.

On the other hand, there are still some neighborhoods that do not exceed 40 cases, such as Agronomy (31), Villa Ortúzar (33), Villa Real (34) and Versailles (36). The latter even remained free of positive cases for almost two months and reported their first case only during the last week of May....
If the rate is analyzed for every 100,000 inhabitants , the most compromised are Retiro , Flores and Villa Soldati. In recent weeks, the Buenos Aires government intensified door-to-door case tracking and follow-up of close contacts through the Detect plan in these three neighborhoods....


See chart showing number of positive cases in each of the 48 neighborhoods.....
Interesting to note that the time to duplication in Palermo is 20,6 days, in Almargro/ Boedo it is 8,1 days. In some ways I again wonder why more is not done to restrict activities and residents of specific neighbourhoods. There was an interesting article a few days ago showing how Argentina had the strictest (and longest) lockdown in the world next to China, Italy, Spain etc - and that these harsh measures do not actually work, they are ineffective on their own and lead to huge spikes like we are seeing now.
 

gracielle

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Interesting to note that the time to duplication in Palermo is 20,6 days, in Almargro/ Boedo it is 8,1 days. In some ways I again wonder why more is not done to restrict activities and residents of specific neighbourhoods. There was an interesting article a few days ago showing how Argentina had the strictest (and longest) lockdown in the world next to China, Italy, Spain etc - and that these harsh measures do not actually work, they are ineffective on their own and lead to huge spikes like we are seeing now.
I don't know about Boedo. Whereas, on June 22nd:
Operativo DeTecTar in Almagro...door-to-door operative as number of positive cases jumped 43%, from 336 to 480 in the prior 5 days.
 
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