How Can Macri Close The Gap With Scioli?

[Bajo_cero2]

Since FPV did not get 50% + 1 vote means that the majority actually does not want the same old same old. Before it was "54% voted!", now its "38% voted but that represents the whole country...". Make up your mind.

Wrong, they got 58%. Massa is just the same but moderated.

 

[scotttswan]

http://www.periodicomovil.com.ar/nota/tucuman/455/scioli-obtuvo-105porciento-votos-mesa-famailla.html

he needs to get 105% of the voters like Scioli did

 

[thorsten]

https://www.reddit.com/r/argentina/comments/3gsm3d/100_de_efectividad_o_llenemos_una_sola_casilla/

I really wonder if there are any kind of sanity checks. For instance, these three cases:

https://mobile.twitter.com/PalacioJuanM/status/631263363717328896/photo/1
https://mobile.twitter.com/PalacioJuanM/status/631266877512269825/photo/1
https://mobile.twitter.com/PalacioJuanM/status/631267769976254464/photo/1

Given a decent number of people (233-279), it is extremely unlikely to get a result like this. On average, a random voter chose FpV with about 40% probability country-wide. But let's assume the party is more popular in some areas. Santiago del Estero was the best result with 66% of the votes going to FpV. Now let's further assume, that there might be this one little town that is known for the choripan production and thus loves FpV even more, as the party ensures a steady flow of business. Even if the probability of voting FpV in this town is 90% for all the people, the likelihood of a result 233/233 would be 0.00000000218024% - not a lot.
Getting a result of 279/279 is even less probable: 0.0000000000171%


As a comparison: the likelihood of winning the lottery (6 out of 49) is 0,0000071511% - I guess Argentinians should participate more in lotteries...

 

[scotttswan]

https://www.reddit.c...a_sola_casilla/

I really wonder if there are any kind of sanity checks. For instance, these three cases:

https://mobile.twitt...7328896/photo/1
https://mobile.twitt...2269825/photo/1
https://mobile.twitt...6254464/photo/1

Given a decent number of people (233-279), it is extremely unlikely to get a result like this. On average, a random voter chose FpV with about 40% probability country-wide. But let's assume the party is more popular in some areas. Santiago del Estero was the best result with 66% of the votes going to FpV. Now let's further assume, that there might be this one little town that is known for the choripan production and thus loves FpV even more, as the party ensures a steady flow of business. Even if the probability of voting FpV in this town is 90% for all the people, the likelihood of a result 233/233 would be 0.00000000218024% - not a lot.
Getting a result of 279/279 is even less probable: 0.0000000000171%


As a comparison: the likelihood of winning the lottery (6 out of 49) is 0,0000071511% - I guess Argentinians should participate more in lotteries...

 

[rjhiking]

Sad, the people have spoken

And I don't want them to complain about it later.

 

[scotttswan]

 

[scotttswan]

 

[Bajo_cero2]

Macri had the same problem. The victims are still waiting for the 8000 pesos he promested.
Now the issue is solved by an hidraulic work made by Ibarra, finished too slowly by macri.
As far as i know, the problem is Nordelta. Those low lands used to be natural water reservoirs/defenses for strong rains like this ones.

 

[Bajo_cero2]

By the way, this is what ultra K sites says:





They mean Nordelta, thanks to Massa for the floodings.

 

[HenryNisental]

The latest rumor is that Macri will make a deal with Massa: Massa will quit his bid for president and in exchange Macri will force Ms Vidal to quit her own bid for the governorship in Buenos Aires province, thus giving a boost (and an almost assured triumph) to Ing Felipe Sola, an ex governor himself.