People keep talking about the impending crash that is just around the corner for Argentina. I dont see it myself.
The governent restrictions have increased the dollars the central bank is holding and the import restrictions have led to a trade surplus. The main industry of Argentina is food, and there is an hungry world out there,so any thought that Argentina will have difficulty selling its soy or wheat is just wishful thinking.
I do see the death of the Argentine economy, not as a heart attack (crash) but more like cancer, the inflation will remain unchecked, there is not incentive for Argentines to invest and even less for foreigners, and the value of savings are falling rapidly, the artificially high value of the peso is effecting tourism . The restrictive labour laws dont help. So a slow(ish) gradual decline of the economy, followed by high crime, more poverty and eventual possible civil unrest.
The governent restrictions have increased the dollars the central bank is holding and the import restrictions have led to a trade surplus. The main industry of Argentina is food, and there is an hungry world out there,so any thought that Argentina will have difficulty selling its soy or wheat is just wishful thinking.
I do see the death of the Argentine economy, not as a heart attack (crash) but more like cancer, the inflation will remain unchecked, there is not incentive for Argentines to invest and even less for foreigners, and the value of savings are falling rapidly, the artificially high value of the peso is effecting tourism . The restrictive labour laws dont help. So a slow(ish) gradual decline of the economy, followed by high crime, more poverty and eventual possible civil unrest.