La Cámpora In Argentina The Rise Of New Vanguard Generation

[scotttswan]

La Cámpora in Argentina

The Rise of New Vanguard Generation and the Road to
Ruin

Douglas Farah, Senior Fellow, International Assessment and Strategy Center

ABSTRACT

How a group of young radical utopians has captured the Argentine state,
collapsed the economy and institutionalized authoritarian rule


http://www.strategyc...�mporaFINAL.pdf

 

[ajoknoblauch]

It's far too early to say La Cámpora and its allies have "institutionalized authoritarian rule." They're making it up as they go along, and will undermine themselves with their own incoherence. Still, they have done a lot of damage and will do more before they implode.

 

[Yogur griego]

Hmmm... just read this in El País

En Argentina, los adulones a sueldo hablan de “Cristina eterna”. No satisfecha con doce años en el poder, entre los propios y los de su difunto marido, la Presidenta intentará postularse a un tercer período a partir de 2015. Para ello necesita dos tercios del Congreso y una Convención Constituyente, eso luego de las elecciones parlamentarias de octubre próximo. El problema de la señora es que su popularidad está hoy alrededor del 35 por ciento y su imagen negativa llega a dos tercios del electorado. Sobre la base de estos datos, sólo le restaría cumplir su mandato, empacar y negociar una partida elegante, porque además no tendrá a la Corte Suprema de su lado como Morales y Ortega.

Let's hope she will

But:

Pero no, como ella es “vieja y terca”, según nos hizo saber Mujica, ahora está embarcada en un asalto directo a los medios y al Poder Judicial. Así, ordenó a toda su bancada legislativa aprobar, en apenas diez días, la ley de “democratización” del Consejo de la Magistratura, el órgano que designa a los jueces. ¿Por qué tanto apuro? Porque la Magistratura también designa a los miembros de la Justicia Electoral, el órgano que norma el proceso comicial entero, desde el empadronamiento de los ciudadanos hasta el cómputo de los votos. La señora Kirchner está ajustada con el tiempo, pero si logra imponer nuevos jueces electorales rápidamente, ya hay quienes auguran un vasto fraude electoral en octubre. Entonces sí, tal vez, logre las bancas necesarias para la reforma constitucional que la acerque a su tan ansiada eternidad.

This doesn't address ''La Campora''. I agree that the idea of a new vanguard generation is a bit overblown. It's just the old Montenero spirit at work here.

 

[ajoknoblauch]

Hmmm... just read this in El País



Let's hope she will

But:



This doesn't address ''La Campora''. I agree that the idea of a new vanguard generation is a bit overblown. It's just the old Montenero spirit at work here.

The best possible outcome is that she finishes her term and goes quietly away. This country needs a no-drama institutional transition for once.

 

[Yogur griego]

The best possible outcome is that she finishes her term and goes quietly away. This country needs a no-drama institutional transition for once.

I love the conclusion of the article:

Esta “nueva izquierda”, que tanto ha criticado al neoliberalismo y las privatizaciones, en realidad es idéntica a la “vieja derecha”: ambas han privatizado el poder.

Like I have written yesterday, I have lost faith in Argentina's capacity to overcome this threat to democracy. It's becoming another copy of Hugo Chávez' authoritarian Venezuelan political system in just a few months.

I am glad this man openly writes about the fear that the coming elections will be rigged.

 

[Gringoboy]

What century is this?

 

[ajoknoblauch]

I love the conclusion of the article:



Like I have written yesterday, I have lost faith in Argentina's capacity to overcome this threat to democracy. It's becoming another copy of Hugo Chávez' authoritarian Venezuelan political system in just a few months.

I am glad this man openly writes about the fear that the coming elections will be rigged.

The desire to rig things may be there, but the smarts and finances to do so are questionable. La Cámpora lacks the petro-dollars to pass out that Chavismo could rely on. AeroCámpora is hemorrhaging money.

 

[Yogur griego]

That's interesting, but are you sure that a lack of funds is the major barrier here?

 

[ajoknoblauch]

That's interesting, but are you sure that a lack of funds is the major barrier here?

Historically, Peronism relies on buying votes, and they don't have the kind of money that Hugo had - in fact they're having to import petroleum to keep the country running. The biggest problem here is that the opposition is so fragmented that opposition to Peronism is an insufficient organizing principle.

 

[Gringoboy]

That paper simply added to what scraps I already knew and what my gut tells me.
A very unpleasant cocktail.