sergio said:
For all its current problems, the US is not going to sink, far from it. Immigrants keep pouring in, people rich and poor seek Green Cards. Argentine investors are not stupid. They know this. They choose Miami because it is accessible to BA, an easy overnight flight. CFK has radically changed the panorama and getting money out of Argentina is now a matter of urgency. She's stalled, if not devastated, the BA real estate market. Whatever they think of US foreign policy, Argentine investors know that in the US there is judicial security and respect for law. Policies do not change overnight and even when there is a crisis in financial institutions bank accounts are insured and backed by the US government. These are just facts and accepting them doesn't mean that you have to like Bush, the Republican Party, Wall Street financiers or MacDonald's.
Exactly. The USA has problems but the judicial system there works and property rights will ALWAYS be respected. The same can't be said for Argentina. The judicial system there doesn't exist for the most part. Property rights for now are respected but who knows in the future if the same will be true.
Porteños don't always win with buying US real estate. I personally know MANY Porteños that got KILLED buying in Miami or other places in Florida during the bubble years.
But there is a huge difference buying real estate during the bubble and buying real estate now in the USA. In some prices real estate was 75% lower picking up last year from peak prices.
Sometimes real estate is about timing. During the bubble years it got totally crazy with people buying things with no documentation. These days they scrutinize everything and NO ONE is getting a mortgage unless they are qualified for the most part.
Also, in many markets people are buying with all cash. So there is a huge difference buying real estate during the bubble and buying now.
I'm not a big fan of Miami or Florida real estate but for those that are....there are some properties that sold during the peak at almost $500,000 for a 1 bedroom / 1 bathroom in South Beach that were sold for almost $100,000 last year.
Obviously if you were an Argentina and bought a place like that during the bubble you got crushed. But you can't confuse buying something during the bubble vs. buying now.
I do think that some places real estate will NEVER get back to bubble peak prices (Miami, Las Vegas, Phoenix, etc) but some places in desirable places like Southern California there is almost no inventory and you go to buy and are beat out with all cash offers.
The key is timing but also location, location, location as usual.