Phil, you're making some unfortunate remarks there that remind me of an anecdote involving Perito Moreno, that has relation with one of the points you brought across (as I will argue later):
In the closing of the 19th century, Chile claimed that prior treaties with Argentina should be interpreted considering the watershed from the peaks in the Andes. Moreno disagreed, arguing that the watershed was regularly modified by simple accidents of nature such as falling rocks or trees, or the accumulation of sand, as they had actually been modified since signing those prior treaties, therefore they could hardly have formed the basis for a boundary settlement. Chile didn't accept that. To prove his point about the unsuitability of the Chilean criterion, he deviated river Fénix, in a few days using just a couple of workers with shovels. It seems there wasn't much left for the Chileans to argue, Moreno was thrown stones when he visited Chile and the arbiter decided pretty much in accordance to the criteria he had proposed.
PhilinBSAS said:
I'm disappointed that you have thought to brush off clear evidence of how the plebiscite was used to resolve the issue of Valle de 16 Octubre in 1902 between Chile and Argentina when this has in fact been researched and indeed celebrated by Argentinian academics as a triumph for local democracy.
My argument was that Moreno's work was critical for settling that issue (see the first paragraph in the link you had given before, they make reference to the watershed-criterion disagreement) and, on the other hand, having a plebiscite isn't the same as awarding territory, that would otherwise fall in the other hands, based on the self-determination principle of a population regardless of how it arrived there. Welsh immigration was important in much of Patagonia and it probably supported Argentine claims of having peacefully inhabited and made use of that land, but that's completely different from the self-determination argument advanced by Britain in the Falklands/Malvinas.
PhilinBSAS said:
Perito Moreno was one of the three commissioners who visited the area and took evidence from the local settler population (but not the "indigenous" population who were considered to be sub-human and were in the process of being "cleared away" if not just shot) and agreed that the will of the population should supersede notions of geography
http://www.patagonia.com.ar/Esquel/53_Plebiscito+de+1902%3A+libro+de+investigaci%C3%B3n+hist%C3%B3rica.html
I'm sorry but I don't see that this link disproves what I say above. It says there that their visit was
after they had submitted their arguments to the arbiter. It says that the impression received from the population contributed to the peace process, that the visit 'framed and somehow defined the subsequent events', but it doesn't say that it had an utmost role in the arbiters decision or that anyone claimed that it superseded geography (*), and there's nothing to equate such argument to the British one for Falkands/Malvinas. E.g., it doesn't say that Chile had protested to the Welsh settling or that prior historical arguments favoring Chile were deemed irrelevant. If I'm missing something, or you have other sources that do support those claims, I'm all ears.
As a sidenote, someone claiming to be of Amerindian descent wrote a comment there, below in the Spanish version, that says that indigenous populations were also consulted.
(*) It just says that 'The determination of those people was in favor of Argentina and while it hardly have been the sole reason for Sir Thomas Holdich had award on behalf of Argentina, was certainly a compelling reason in this decision', which only means that, in this author's opinion, it was one of several reasons.
PhilinBSAS said:
Maybe you should spend more time on research yourself rather than composing "off the cuff" convoluted and self contradictory replies which it appears are based on badly remembered nationalist history lessons at school.
Are these stones? As received by Moreno in Chile? What an honour.
PhilinBSAS said:
I have given you the opportunity to look up the Argentinian sources and yet you still assert ....
"In any case, it was hardly a case of a population argument deciding a dispute that would, otherwise, favor the other part."
When it clearly was! The evidence is there! But then it is not only the blind who cannot see.
Well, to be fair, I haven't offered support to claiming that Moreno's geographical work was what mostly decided the matter, but that's what I understand and, as I argue above, I don't see support to the contrary in the links you gave, or at least to this work being superseded by a self-determination argument a-la Falklands/Malvinas, as you were claiming. But well, it must be that, apart from not being able to read any history not given during my tendentious Argentine schooling, or to think critically, I cannot see.
PhilinBSAS said:
For my part I'd like to learn more about the "1984 Referendum" you talk about. My understanding is that Argentina's Government was preparing for war with Chile on the trivial issue of the three Islands in the Beagle Channel then got distracted by what was a sudden "opportunity" to get onto Falklands Island soil just before winter started and so it was thought by your Leaders that the UK didn't have the resources or will-power to do anything about it. Wrong calculation !
Some of this is disputed but I'll tell you what I believe, Virginia Gamba has interesting work about this, in English, in case you want to know more. There was a connection between Beagle and Malvinas, as the invasion to Malvinas was entertained partly because of worries about losing territory in the South Atlantic, and it was believed that retaking them would improve the Argentine case versus Chile. A plan for the invasion was prepared but its execution was not decided and, if it was going to happen, it was supposed to happen later (in December, then moved to May 24th). Moreover, it was meant to be just invading and handling the islands to the UN. The incident in the Georgias precipitated things, then the disapproval of the Security Council at the UN and the popular reaction in Argentina motivated the Junta to change plans, partly because of that belief about Britain not answering militarily other than by retaking the so-called dependencies.
PhilinBSAS said:
After the debacle of the invasion failure there was no appetite to then take on Chile and so Argentina then fell in line with what the two successive arbiters had said. I;m sure you are not saying that the Islands themselves involved were asked to vote where they wanted to be but I can tell you Ive seen them on a boat trip from Ushuaia and the only indigenous inhabitants are seals and penguins (and I don't mean the neo-peronist variety)
Or are you saying that Argentina's population had a plebiscite about Picton, Nueva and Lennox islands in the Beagle Channel?
There was a plebiscite in Argentina for Picton, etc. The proposition to accept the arbiter's decision won with more than 81% of the votes. In the line of what you say, I guess it wouldn't have been that high without the 1982 conflict.
PhilinBSAS said:
Yet there was no plebiscite for the invasion of the Falklands?? By your logic there should have been one. So why not?
Well, on the one hand, there's an important point that you're missing: the 1982 conflict happened during a dictatorship, the 1984 decision was under a democracy. On the other hand, though I'm no military expert, I'm pretty sure that it's not advisable to submit to a national plebiscite the decision to carry on a surprise invasion. (I take it that you mean a plebiscite
after the landing, but the joke was tempting.)
Even if it were advisable and all that, I don't see my logic pointing towards a plebiscite for Malvinas. On the contrary, I recognize that the reaction in 1982 was embarrassing. I mentioned the plebiscite as a hint that Argentines are, perhaps, not as unreasonable and expansionist as suggested by prior remarks, but I wouldn't dare to say that we're
never unreasonable.
PhilinBSAS said:
I'm afraid you have tied yourself up in several knots here my Argentinian friend.
As for bitterness against Chile in Argentina I'll give you a chance to reflect on that as you may wish to reconsider that point before the evidence is laid out.
There are some bad opinions but I don't think it's so bad. Besides, I was talking about bitterness related to the Beagle decision. Did you find much (any) of that around? I seldom do, if ever.
PhilinBSAS said:
The current President's husband pulled out of negotiations with the UK which could have formed the basis of trust and understanding and the building of confidence in mutual self interest. Instead we had a tirade of anti-British rhetoric threats, a series of bi-polar and abusive references to the inhabitants and a failed campaign to garner international support which ended when Cristina stomped off early from Cartagena last month.
More recently the new Argentinian Ambassador to the UK has repeated the party line that there are more "British" descendants in Argentina than in the Falklands and they are happy to be living where they are so that should sufficiently reassure the indigenous Falkland islanders. All the anglophiles I know are keeping their head down at the moment but certainly are not happy! Possibly also they are more intimidated and worried about a visit from the neo-peronista thugs who attacked the British embassy in Buenos Aires. All the Falkland islanders have to put up with are abusive phone calls. Ah is that the reason for Cristina's offer to fly Aerolineas direct to Stanley?
I think this government's policy towards Malvinas is pretty much deficient. Yet, I find your description to be extremely generous to the other side, but let's not get into details that would make this thread endless. BTW, the islanders are not indigenous.
Those who attacked the embassy were not neo-peronists but radical left-wingers from a group called 'Quebracho'. The reason for that name is one of several facts that you will find interesting if you want to understand some of that bad British image that you see around, instead of just whining about it.
To me, it would be silly to blame other Britons for those events, which are often oversimplified and unfairly isolated from positive ones, or to present arguments such as 'A century ago you were bad!' for current issues. This said in connection to references to Argentine mistreatment of our indigenous people in this thread.
PhilinBSAS said:
Most importantly the truth is that no one trusts the current Argentinian Government to be as good as her word. And your sophistry really doesn't help here at all.
Ouch, a stone hit me!
PhilinBSAS said:
Negotiation has to involve trust and a willingness to compromise. We have already established that Argentina cannot compromise - there is a legal and constitutional impediment. You say .... ah that's only the constitution and its put up simply as a starter for negotiation but to a country with such a long tradition of the rule of law then UK simply says "ha!" you cannot trust what they put down on a piece of paper as sacred as their constitution then what can you trust?
Well, I think I presented an argument, it's not required to undo one's claims before entering sovereignty negotiations, it doesn't mean that it's not possible to compromise. Britain also claims that the islands, a disputed territory, are hers in the EU constitution, making no clarifications afaik.
PhilinBSAS said:
The quote "jaw-jaw is better than war-war" you may not have recognised but it comes from Churchill. His predecessor accepted a piece of paper at face value and we (the world) had to live with the consequences although in the end decency, democracy and the rule of law prevailed after much sacrifice.
Actually, the quote is one of several typical misquotes to Churchill; Harold Macmillan was the one who said it, paraphrasing him. Regarding the Munich Agreement, you may know that there's a version, worth considering, that says that Chamberlain was buying time for Britain to prepare for war. BTW, pretty clever to make an analogy between my country and Nazi Germany, who would have thought of that.
PhilinBSAS said:
Argentina's current neo-peronist government needs to fundamentally rethink these things and it applies not only to the potential for conflict resolution with the indigenous population of the Falklands/Malvinas who are totally incredulous about Argentinian intentions but also to the way that Government is conducted in Argentina itself. Is it going to be trust or lies which characterises the administration of Argentinian government?
I'm beginning to think you are more interested in spinning out polemics and obscurification.
OK, I'm the one obscuring things though I brought across reputed references to correct sharp inaccuracies in several parts of this thread. This has gotten silly indeed, I hope Graham Chapman's character comes to the rescue soon.