I really wonder what part of the hike is due to the vacations and what part to the half aguinaldo.
I tend to think that people buying now are people who did not have the money to buy dollars before (aguinaldo) because it was easy to forecast that the dollar would raise (people plan their vacations months before and have time to anticipate the dollar purchases).
Knowing that would make it possible if the dollar will lower a bit late in january or at the end of february/beginning of march.
Does anyone know when the payment of aguinaldos is more or less over in January?
Other explanations here
http://www.ieco.clar..._840516107.html