ben
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In the real world a debtor who cannot pay one's debts has the right to go to the lender and attempt to restructure those debts in good faith. The only problem is that Argentina doesn't live in the real world. They told their creditors that they were only going to pay a small percentage of what they owed - take it or take a hike. Most creditors took that offer.
A small percentage said, "Ni pedo!" and took them to court.
During the proceedings Argentina routinely acted like they were above the law (to which they signed) even to the point of insinuating they would not follow the Supreme Court's directives. That has a tendency to piss off judges.
CFK can rant and rave tonight about the "Yanquis de Mierda" but Argentina's BEST move now would be negotiate a settlement with Elliot. This would pave the way finally for access to international credit markets.
Yes.
One can wonder if the vulture funds would negotiate in good faith or not, but we'll never know, because one can safely assume - based on Argentina's prior conduct - that they were simply told to go screw themselves. To which the funds simply replied, "F*** me? No, f*** you".
One can safely assume that the vulture funds would rather settle than have Argentina default. With that in mind, there's certainly room to negotiate. That they do not want to negotiate is - per my limited knowledge of the case - pure propaganda on the part of the Argentine govt. If, as one can safely imagine, they were told to talk to the wall and subsequently chose to talk to the court, - what do you sue for in court? To force the other side to negotiate? No, you sue for the maximum you can win. Then - with the sides' respective positions and the strengths/weaknesses staked out - one can negotiate, out of court.
The question is a personal one - if the government would (will) rather preside over a sane negotiation, or leave with their noses high and leave the mess to their successors. They did finally make a deal with Repsol, once it was clear that that would make it easier for them to move on.