Ries
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I take it you've never been to Bakersfield. Or rural Oregon/Washington? Or the desert towns of the West?
I live in rural Washington, and have loads of friends in rural Wa. And Oregon.
And both States have gone Democratic in the presidential elections for the last 7 elections, and many times before that.
The average rural Wa. or Or. voter will not vote Jeb.
I know lots of people who live in desert towns in Nevada, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and So Cal who are democrats.
Jeb will not carry the West.