Redrum,
I do not purport to be an expert on the economy. However. I think it is presumptious of you to belittle Pulitzer prize winning economists. It may be true that the reduction of the very highest marginal rates by JFK and Reagan (91% to 70 by JFK and 70 to 50 by Reagan) was either neutral or did increase total tax revenue, but there is really no dispute that subsequent tax cuts have not increased tax revenue and that goes for Bush's 2001 and 2003 reductions. It follows that the economy will not be stimulated by further tax reductions as they will only cause a reduction in total government revenue. By the way, it's really a misnomer to call the Obama proposal a tax increase. The original tax bill passed by Bush had sunset provisions by which the rates would revert to the higher rates in the absence of further Congressional action.
I listened to the tape you linked featuring Peter Schiff. He correctly predicted the subprime banking fiasco, but he only touched on taxes once and that was to say the
economy would not be helped by tax cuts, but by spending cuts in order to reduce deficit spending. So why do you argue he supports your position that there should be no tax increases? Since Schiff supports reduced deficit spending I have to believe he favors increasing the tax rates on the rich since doing so would indisputably reduce deficit spending by supplementing revenue. Am I missing something? Other than the reference to Schiff, you submit no autorities to support your argument against raising taxes on the rich. Sorry, but I just don't find you convincing.
A combination of increased revenue and savvy government spending appears to be the correct formula to stimulate the economy. I am especially convinced by former Reagan OMB Director Stockton's take on the proposed tax changes set forth below.
Holtz-Eakin: "You are not going to get tax cuts to pay for themselves." As director of the Congressional Budget Office in 2005, Douglas Holtz-Eakin, who later became senior policy adviser on McCain's presidential campaign, released a
study of a 10-percent federal income tax cut, which concluded that "the budgetary impact of the economic changes was estimated to offset between 1 percent and 22 percent of the revenue loss from the tax cut over the first five years and add as much as 5 percent to that loss or offset as much as 32 percent of it over the second five years." In other words, during the first five years of a 10-percent tax cut, the resulting economic impact on the budget would offset at most 22 percent of the federal revenues lost and during the second five years would offset at most 32 percent of the revenues lost. Holtz-Eakin also
reportedly told
Boston Globe columnist Scot Lehigh, "You are not going to get tax cuts to pay for themselves."
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Reagan tax cuts and Bush tax cuts "contributed to record US budget deficits." Harvard economist and former Clinton economic advisor Jeffrey Frankel
wrote in 2008 that cuts in federal income tax rates "reduces revenue ... this was the outcome of the two big experiments of recent decades: the Reagan tax cuts of 1981-83 and the Bush tax cuts of 2001-03, both of which contributed to record US budget deficits." Frankel added that this is "the view of almost all professional economists, including the illustrious economic advisers to Presidents Reagan (OMB Stockman, Richard Darman) and Bush "
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Chair of Bush's Counsel of Economic Advisers Lazear: "We do not say the tax cuts pay for themselves." .. during his September 26, 2006,
testimony before the Senate Budget Committee, Lazear said: LAZEAR: Will the tax cuts pay for themselves? As a general rule, we do not think tax cuts pay for themselves. Certainly, the data presented above do not support this claim. Tax revenues in 2006 appear to have recovered to the level seen at this point in previous business cycles, but this does not make up for the lost revenue during 2003, 2004, and 2005.
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Paulson: "As a general rule, I don't believe that tax cuts pay for themselves." Marketwatch
reported on June 27, 2006, that then Treasury Secretary-nominee Henry Paulson "rejected notions that tax cuts pay for themselves"
aulson rejected notions that tax cuts pay for themselves, but argued that they were nonetheless essential to ensuring economic growth. "As a general rule, I don't believe that tax cuts pay for themselves," Paulson said, echoing the opinion of most economists.
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Former Bush economist: "[N]o dispute among economists" that Bush tax cuts reduced revenue. The
Washington Post reported on October 17, 2006: "Federal revenue is lower today than it would have been without the tax cuts. There's really no dispute among economists about that," said Alan D. Viard, a former Bush White House economist now at the nonpartisan American Enterprise Institute. "It's logically possible" that a tax cut could spur sufficient economic growth to pay for itself, Viard said. "But there's no evidence that these tax cuts would come anywhere close to that."
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Bush OMB Director: Tax cuts do not "totally pay for themselves." According to a November 15, 2007,
Washington Post editorial, Jim Nussle, then the director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), told reporters, "Some say that [the tax cut] was a total loss. Some say they totally pay for themselves. It's neither extreme."
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Reagan OMB Director, David Stockton, attacks GOP on economic policy...
"IF there were such a thing as Chapter 11 for politicians, the Republican push to extend the unaffordable Bush tax cuts would amount to a bankruptcy filing. The nation’s public debt — if honestly reckoned to include municipal bonds and the $7 trillion of new deficits baked into the cake through 2015 — will soon reach $18 trillion. That’s a Greece-scale 120 percent of gross domestic product, and fairly screams out for austerity and sacrifice. It is therefore unseemly for the Senate minority leader, Mitch McConnell, to insist that the nation’s wealthiest taxpayers be spared even a three-percentage-point rate increase."
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/01/opinion/01stockman.html