- Oct 20, 2019
Re “don't expect a red carpet welcome.”I will use numbers to put it into some perspective, since usually these have nothing to do with silly labels like "socialist".
In 2018/19 Argentina got about the following numbers of tourists from the following countries, amongst others, out of about 5-6m in total:
When we add COVID into the mix for 2020/1 we are talking about only a fraction of these numbers as we have seen from inbound pax numbers in other markets open for tourism during this time. The further the distance, the smaller the fraction. Take a look at the Maldives, Turkey, UAE etc. and tell me what % in 2020 are coming from the USA versus 2019, despite US travellers having every ability to travel there if they want.
- Brazil - 2m
- Uruguay - 1.1m
- Chile - 1.0m
- Paraguay - 0.5m
- USA or Bolivia - 0.3m each
- The vast majority of other arrivals are from other Latin American countries
As someone whose business is related to travel in Argentina and worldwide, I can safely also add that it is not "upper class" Brazilians (or Uruguayans, or Chileans, or Peruvians etc) making up these numbers - for Argentina the vast majority of inbounds are squarely in the middle class tourist box hence yet they still have money spend. Frankly speaking they will spend more on "things" (like a pair of Nike shoes that are more expensive in Brazil) than North Americans who instead prefer to spend on "experiences" (most of which are closed for business at the moment.)
For those with a selective style of reading, refer by to my repeated statements that the Argentine government policy is silly and serves no practical purpose by keeping anyone out in the name of COVID. That's my personal opinion. But the matter of fact is that this government begs to differ and has its own logic for which I try to explain before we get carried away thinking that by changing this policy to allow US and other tourists would actually materially benefit or "save" Argentina given the context and evidence from other countries who are open for business. That is just not true, so don't expect a red carpet welcome.
Well, ok. Let’s see if I can arrange that for a wealthy party of 10 friends who want to visit CABA from NYC in Jan., assuming El Presidente so decrees. I’ll be back.