nicoenarg said:Bringing the peso down will also drive up inflation. CFK has got a catch-22 situation and the only solution to their problem is an economic collapse, where, once again, they restructure everything and get it ready for the next crash. I don't believe in the "crash once every decade" BS. I just think that people here just don't know how to run the economy of a country.
The reason she is in the shit is because they have been keeping the peso artificially high... Brazil is slowing, and the real has gone from 1.70 to the US$ to just over 1.90 since mid feb, around 12%.. what has happen to the AR$ in that time.. sod all...
This was a big contributing factor to the last crisis, arg peso was pegged against the US$, the global economy slowed, the real, chilean peso, NZ$, AU$ etc all dropped against the US$.. but the little old arg peso didnt, so their exports became expensive compared to everyone else and imports became even cheaper... so they had a trade imbalance that grew and local companies/commodities that couldnt compete internationally...
You would think they would learn.. but not argentina !!!!!
As for inflation, it wouldnt increase to much if the peso dropped to fair value.. why.. because all the external factors that would cause inflation (imports become expensive) have already been taken care of by way of import restrictions..