John.St
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- Jul 18, 2009
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Neither a trap nor some mumbo-jumbo in accordance to someone's income.... Every policy for years now has been all about holding on to reserve dollars. The very recent clampdown on online purchases would be in line with that, and politically costly - i.e. something of a desperate move. So why this sudden odd ball out, I was asking myself. "One of these things just doesn't belong here... and now my song is done."
I could only come up with two ideas.
1. It's a trap. The people will go racing to buy dollars at a rate that will threaten to destabilize the reserve, and their lack of patriotism, confidence in their own currency etc will be blamed for some more draconian policy. Seems a bit far fetched though.
2. Then the phrase "according to your income" really sunk in. Perhaps it's more like an exit strategy, a chance for the 1% to cash out of the peso to some extent. A chance for politicians in the know, their family and crony friends to move their liquid assets to safety in a completely legal manner. They could make the whole process so tedious that it is not worthwhile for people at the bottom of the pyramid to do it. (same strategy as online ordering - make it too big of a headache to bother)
Just rolling the dice of conjecture for fun here really - obviously not enough info yet to make any real predictions.
Years of experience with Argentine national economical policies teach us that attempting to find the logic behind it is futile.
Insider tip, here is how it actually works:
1. Write a number of possible policies on a circular piece of cardboard.
2. Spin the cardboard.
3. Blindfold, throw a dart at the cardboard.
4.1. If you hit some person, fire him.
4.2. If you hit the cardboard, find next week's policy where the dart hit.
It really is that simple.